Users can use the applet to apply Bayes' theorem to find the probability that a person is actually infected given that the person has tested positive for a disease. The link provides a detailed ...

Central to the practice of medicine is, of course, diagnosis. In the process of pursuing diagnosis, facts about the situation are secured. At any given stage of the process, the available facts define ...

First articulated in the 18th century by a hobbyist-mathematician seeking to reason backward from effects to cause, Bayes’ theorem spent the better part of two centuries struggling for recognition and ...

From AI’s applied Bayes to our Bayesian brains, Chivers considers how we foresee things and respond to the world around us given what we already know. A genuinely entertaining book with maths and a ...

Humans are predication machines. Every second of every day, we are trying to navigate the world based on our predictions. We are making predictions when we book a holiday, based on our prior knowledge ...